[sl4] What is the probability of a positive singularity?

From: Scott Dickey (scott@grokh.com)
Date: Mon Jul 21 2008 - 17:20:23 MDT

A question for all,

What is your current estimate of the probability that humanity will survive
to see a positive singularity?

Where "survive" means to avoid existential threats as outlined by Nick
Bostrom (1), and where "positive singularity" is the ideal espoused by SIAI


(1) http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html
(2) http://www.intelligence.org/overview/whatisthesingularity
(3) http://www.intelligence.org/overview/whyworktowardthesingularity

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