Re: [sl4] What is the probability of a positive singularity?

From: Anthony Berglas (anthony@berglas.org)
Date: Tue Jul 22 2008 - 01:06:50 MDT


At 09:20 AM 22/07/2008, Scott Dickey wrote:
>A question for all,
>
>What is your current estimate of the probability that humanity will
>survive to see a positive singularity?

Extremely unlikely.

See http://berglas.org/Articles/AIKillGrandchildren/AIKillGrandchildren.html

The good news is that we need not worry about global warming etc.

Anthony

>Where "survive" means to avoid existential threats as outlined by
>Nick Bostrom (1), and where "positive singularity" is the ideal
>espoused by SIAI (2)(3).
>
>-Scott
>
>(1)
><http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html>http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html
>(2) http://www.intelligence.org/overview/whatisthesingularity
>(3)
><http://www.intelligence.org/overview/whyworktowardthesingularity>http://www.singinst.org/overview/whyworktowardthesingularity

Dr Anthony Berglas, anthony@berglas.org Mobile: +61 4 4838 8874
Just because it is possible to push twigs along the ground with ones nose
does not necessarily mean that is the best way to collect firewood.



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