Re: [sl4] What is the probability of a positive singularity?

Date: Mon Jul 21 2008 - 18:04:55 MDT

On Mon, Jul 21, 2008 at 4:20 PM, Scott Dickey <> wrote:

> What is your current estimate of the probability that humanity will survive
> to see a positive singularity?
> Where "survive" means to avoid existential threats as outlined by Nick
> Bostrom (1), and where "positive singularity" is the ideal espoused by SIAI
> (2)(3).

That should very much depend on how you define "humanity", e.g.
genetic similarity, phylogenetic roots, cultural roots,
values-in-common with today's humanity, remembrance of belonging to
humanity, ...

- X

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