From: Gwern Branwen (gwern0@gmail.com)
Date: Mon May 09 2011 - 21:21:57 MDT
On Sun, Mar 13, 2011 at 1:00 PM, Gwern Branwen <gwern0@gmail.com> wrote:
> In 2010, there were a grand total of 144 emails on SL4, or less than 1
> email every 2 days. Looking through http://sl4.org/archive/ , most of
> those emails seem to be joins, link posting, or announcements. The SL4
> home page claims that 'The SL4 list currently has around 200 members.
> Usual volume is five to ten messages per day, with occasional
> intervals of pleasant silence, and flurries of high activity.' but I
> suspect both sentences are drastic over-estimations now.
To follow up; it has been almost 2 months since I sent this email. In
the 3 list archive periods for that month
(http://sl4.org/archive/1103/index.html
http://sl4.org/archive/1104/index.html
http://sl4.org/archive/1105/index.html), there have been exactly *9*
emails unrelated to my list closure suggestion. (I think, anyway. I'm
not sure whether the archives are not broken, since I didn't see some
of the emails it claims were sent about the list closure, and the last
email on record, http://sl4.org/archive/1105/21134.html , links to a
2000 email as the 'next message'!) Of those 9 emails, at least 3 were
simply announcements or pointers to announcements elsewhere; at least
2 were vapid and added nothing; and <3 were simply offtopic or of
entirely questionable relevance. One would think that proposing the
equivalent of the death sentence for a mailing list would stir a
little more traffic...
In an interesting comment on my original email, it was forwarded to
the Extropy-chat ML, where it met with no public reply of any kind:
http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/2011-March/064738.html
In that 2 month-long period, incidentally, Extropy-chat has seen
approximately 1800 emails. LW has seen approximately 128 Articles
(http://lesswrong.com/recentposts), approximately 322 Discussion
posts*, and it's more than a little difficult to calculate this but
around *14,000* comments†. MoR, with a few updates, has received an
additional >504 reviews in that period‡. Robin Hanson now posting
alone on OB has >50 posts since March 13th or so, and with what looks
like an average of 20-30 comments per posting, >1000 comments! Hell,
my own personal site has had more comments in the past few days(some
fairly substantial, eg. http://www.gwern.net/Death%20Note%20Anonymity)
than SL4 has had emails in the past 2 months.
To re-mention http://becominggaia.wordpress.com/2011/03/13/uber-rationalists-call-for-shutdown-of-sl4-list/
says that SL4 is useful for "Shuttering SL4 would be a huge loss —
unless you need to restrict and control the conversation."; I will
note that he has not posted once in the past 2 months besides the list
closure thread.
To summarize: *no one is using SL4*. If a ML is not being used, why
should it remain active?
Now. I could keep this up for the indefinite future, posting
statistics about how other sites are literally 1000x more active than
SL4 is. But if all the points I have presented are insufficient, then
it's hard to see why simply repeating them with slight variations as
the statistics change would make them sufficient. I'm done; my case
has been presented. I'll stick around for a month for whatever is left
to discuss, and then unsubscribe - voting with my feet, as it were.
> 'Arrakis teaches the attitude of the knife — chopping off what’s incomplete and saying: "Now it’s complete because it’s ended here."'
* see http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/ &
http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/?count=105&after=t3_5cr "Now i
http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/?count=208&after=t3_54e
http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/?count=309&after=t3_4vg
† Since 8 May began, there have been ~400 comments proper, judging
from how far back I had to go to reach 7 May comments:
http://lesswrong.com/comments/?count=350&after=t1_44d7oday is 9
May. Assume just 150 Article comments a day, and undercounting to get
56 days, that's 8400 comments. Discussion seems to have a lower rate
of around 100 comments a day judging from
http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/comments?count=200&after=t1_44fy
so that adds on another 5600.
‡ 14 reviews per page on FF.net, and 36 pages before 12 March and 13
March reviews start showing up
-- gwern http://www.gwern.net
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