From: Samantha Atkins (email@example.com)
Date: Mon Aug 30 2004 - 01:02:16 MDT
What is the probability that all intelligent evolved sentient species
in the universe will waste so much time in mind-numbing intellectual
bantering that none of them reach and survive Singularity?
On Aug 28, 2004, at 9:18 AM, fudley wrote:
>>> A computer running a simple little program that will search though
>>> even numbers and stop at the first one that is not the sum of 2
>>> greater than two; Tell me the probability, even approximately, it
>>> eventually stop.
> "J. Andrew Rogers" <firstname.lastname@example.org>
>> It will stop when there is insufficient memory to represent the
>> in question. Stopping and finding a correct answer (or any answer)
>> only loosely related.
> OK, letís talk about a real world computer then, a computer with a very
> large but finite amount of memory, letís call it X. What is the
> probability, even approximately, that the machine will stop before it
> reaches X, its memory limit? What is the shortcut algorithm to figure
> this out other than running the original program and waiting to see
> If thatís too hard try this one, how can I calculate if this atom of
> tritium I hold in my hand will decay in the next 12.3 years? I donít
> demand an exact answer, just show me how to get a probability that is
> even a little bit better than what Iíd get by flipping a coin.
> John K Clark
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