From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (sentience@pobox.com)
Date: Mon Oct 15 2007 - 20:36:55 MDT
Dagon Gmail wrote:
> I'd would *really* like to hear estimates of anyone willing to bother
> responding
> when - (If you reply give me an estimate of "likely" and "almost certain".
None know the hour, nor the decade. Anyone who tells you differently
is massively overconfident on an intrinsically difficult problem:
http://intelligence.org/Biases.pdf
-- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://intelligence.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
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