Re: What's going on this decade?

From: Jef Allbright (
Date: Tue Aug 08 2006 - 17:01:28 MDT

On 8/8/06, Philip Goetz <> wrote:
> There are some exciting things in other fields - genome sequencing
> (developed in the 1990s), RNA interference, gene therapy (largely
> 1990s also), microarray protein expression analysis - but I can't
> think of much in AI/comp sci/math that excites me lately.

My perception is similar to yours, and that we're in a phase of more
invention than innovation, but this perception is very dependant on
your particular technological subcategory. It's a predictable part of
the s-curves that comprise accelerating technological change, and on a
larger scale possibly a reflection of the decreasing relative
effectiveness of individual human intelligence.

While we cannot accurately predict the next major innovation that will
spawn a large new round of invention, we can expect continuance of the
broader trend toward doing more with less.

- Jef

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