From: Jef Allbright (jef@jefallbright.net)
Date: Tue Aug 08 2006 - 17:01:28 MDT
On 8/8/06, Philip Goetz <philgoetz@gmail.com> wrote:
> There are some exciting things in other fields - genome sequencing
> (developed in the 1990s), RNA interference, gene therapy (largely
> 1990s also), microarray protein expression analysis - but I can't
> think of much in AI/comp sci/math that excites me lately.
My perception is similar to yours, and that we're in a phase of more
invention than innovation, but this perception is very dependant on
your particular technological subcategory. It's a predictable part of
the s-curves that comprise accelerating technological change, and on a
larger scale possibly a reflection of the decreasing relative
effectiveness of individual human intelligence.
While we cannot accurately predict the next major innovation that will
spawn a large new round of invention, we can expect continuance of the
broader trend toward doing more with less.
- Jef
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