Re: How hard a Singularity?

From: Michael Roy Ames (
Date: Sat Jun 22 2002 - 17:36:46 MDT

> Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote:
> >
> > By hypothesis, the AI just made the leap to human-equivalent smartness.
> > We know from evolutionary experience that this is a highly significant
> > threshold that opens up a lot of doors. Self-improvement should be
> > sixty at this point.

Ben wrote:
> Eliezer, I think you are mistaken about this. The shift from chimpanzee
> human was probably nothing like the shift from infrahuman to
> human-equivalent AI will be. The two development trajectories are too
> different to draw analogies between them. In particular, the sudden
> invention of "general intelligence" supported on chimpanzee substrate may
> have no analogue in the development path of an AI.

Ben: What is the mistaken part? I don't see Eliezer drawing an analogy
between chimpanzees and humans... I see him drawing an analogy between
every-other-species-before-now and humans. The point being, once you can
think 'as well as' a human, a large number of things become possible.
Where's the mistake?

Michael Roy Ames.

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