Re: How hard a Singularity?

From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (
Date: Sat Jun 22 2002 - 14:01:27 MDT

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote:
> By hypothesis, the AI just made the leap to human-equivalent smartness.
> We know from evolutionary experience that this is a highly significant
> threshold that opens up a lot of doors. Self-improvement should be going
> sixty at this point.

Eliezer, I think you are mistaken about this. The shift from chimpanzee to
human was probably nothing like the shift from infrahuman to
human-equivalent AI will be. The two development trajectories are too
different to draw analogies between them. In particular, the sudden
invention of "general intelligence" supported on chimpanzee substrate may
have no analogue in the development path of an AI.

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

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