Re: How hard a Singularity?

From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (sentience@pobox.com)
Date: Sat Jun 22 2002 - 15:26:23 MDT


Michael Roy Ames wrote:
>
> Ben wrote:

No, that was me. A habit of old age, as Gandalf once put it.

>>Eliezer, I think you are mistaken about this. The shift from chimpanzee
>>to human was probably nothing like the shift from infrahuman to
>>human-equivalent AI will be. The two development trajectories are too
>>different to draw analogies between them. In particular, the sudden
>>invention of "general intelligence" supported on chimpanzee substrate may
>>have no analogue in the development path of an AI.
>
> Ben: What is the mistaken part? I don't see Eliezer drawing an analogy
> between chimpanzees and humans... I see him drawing an analogy between
> every-other-species-before-now and humans. The point being, once you can
> think 'as well as' a human, a large number of things become possible.
> Where's the mistake?

The mistake is that all every-other-species-before-now was not generally
intelligent, whereas humans were.

-- 
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://intelligence.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence


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