Re: [sl4] Call for information: Moore's Law

From: CyTG (
Date: Sun Jul 13 2008 - 15:31:07 MDT

Moore just estimated a somewhat correct value for x.
Thinking that moores law is a somewhat selffulfilling prophecy seems kinda
'out there' to me.
This is billions and billions of dollars of revenue we're talking about, to
think that *those* numbers should correlate more with a prophecy than with
natural market forces sorta makes my mind wander towards the intelligent
design debate... wich of course equates to : yeh right!


On Sun, Jul 13, 2008 at 10:02 PM, Thomas McCabe <>

> Me, Anna Salamon, and Steve Rayhawk are building a computer model of
> existential risks and what causes them. Currently, we're looking for
> information on what causes Moore's Law-style exponentials in computer
> hardware, so we can predict what will happen given conditions
> different from those of the past forty years. The current favorite
> theories seem to be that 1)., Moore's Law was a self-fulfilling
> prophecy because it was used to set industry goals, and 2)., most
> technological growth is exponential, because the rate at which
> technology improves is proportional to the amount of technology
> already in existence. Any links to other theories, or literature on
> the subject, would be greatly appreciated.
> --
> - Tom

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