Re: Predicting the future

From: Dani Eder (
Date: Tue May 02 2006 - 13:20:38 MDT

--- Richard Loosemore <> wrote:
> Out of all of this comes a confusing mishmash of
> predictions, some of
> which can be validly criticised and some of which
> can't. Unless we go
> to some trouble to separate out the particular
> predictions and the
> particular people making them, it is hopeless to
> make generalizations
> about the value of prediction.
> Richard Loosemore.

Also, technologies don't go from discovery to for
sale at WalMart in an instant. When making a
prediction, it is important to state where on the
development continuum you are making a prediction
for. Somre relevant scales:
(at pages 3 and 6)


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