RE: Development models.

From: Phil Goetz (
Date: Wed Sep 07 2005 - 13:15:08 MDT

--- Ben Goertzel <> wrote:
> > Ben Goertzel wrote:
> > > Given the current state of hardware/software tech, it is not
> > > feasible for one person to put together a seed AI.
> >
> > Frankly I wish that were true, as it would remove one-man projects
> > from consideration as existential risks, but unfortunately while
> > the probability of a single person doing everything is low it is
> > still nontrivial when aggregated over all lone researchers.
> I agree that the probability is nontrivial -- i.e., although it's
> low, it's still high enough to be seriously considered when thinking
> about existential risks. According to my intuition, whatever that
> be worth...

As seen from the viewpoint of existential risks, they should be
considered. As seen from the viewpoint of your choosing a path
to create an AGI, the lone-wolf path doesn't give good odds.

- Phil

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