Re: Bayesians & Pascal's wager

From: Phil Goetz (
Date: Thu Sep 01 2005 - 09:37:29 MDT

--- Thomas Buckner <> wrote:

> have to be honored. They are only opinions, as
> far as we are able to know, with no proof; as
> Gurdjieff said, opinions are a form of lying
> since they are assertions of knowledge one
> doesn't have.
> A Bayesian would look at the wager and say:
> "Hmmm. There are no solid priors and no way to
> update my information except to die. This is an
> unrewarding area of study."
> Tom Buckner

A Bayesian would not speak of "proof". A Bayesian who needed
"solid" priors would be unable to make most decisions.
And there are many ways of evaluating religious claims
other than dying. :)

- Phil

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