Re: Bad Bayesian - no biscuit! (was A New Year's gift for Bayesians)

From: Mike Williams (
Date: Thu Jan 20 2005 - 05:44:33 MST

Eliezer, what would you say afterwards, to that one person who actually
won the lottery?
Mike W.

Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote:

They have not learned to translate mere dry statistics into a feeling of
> absolute and utter certainty, far exceeding any proposition of science or
> everyday life, that they SHALL NOT win the lottery.

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