Who will launch the Singularity?

From: Smigrodzki, Rafal (SmigrodzkiR@msx.upmc.edu)
Date: Thu Jun 27 2002 - 16:13:42 MDT

Stephen Reed [mailto:reed@cyc.com]

Not only do I have the opposite opinion, I believe that as the evidence
mounts that an AGI is possible, the government - and in particular the US
government will take the leading role.

### I guess that Stephen is right - the US government will be able to run
circles around indepdendent SAI efforts in the rase to the Singularity, by
virtue of the massive financial and organizational resources it will throw
at it (shortly before SAI becomes feasible based on academic efforts),
although a big software company might be the dark horse.

It is possible that the Friendliness learning process forces a single
ethical structure as the outcome, predicated on the external referents of
Friendliness, the panhuman layer. However, there might be local minima
surrounding this part of the "ethical configuration space", and an AI might
be launched towards one of them. Hopefully, not the one requiring a pledge
of allegiance.


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