RE: How hard a Singularity?

From: Ben Goertzel (
Date: Sun Jun 23 2002 - 15:53:56 MDT

> 100 subjective years? Maybe, just barely. 100 physical old-fashioned
> objective years is beyond imagination.
> I can imagine that an SI has to crawl to the galactic core at C
> in order to
> travel back in time, thus taking a great deal *more* than 100
> years, but 100
> years of physical time to do anything that can be done in this
> solar system
> - I can't buy it. That's ten billion years! What on heaven or
> Earth could

Ok, suppose that an expedition sent to a nearby star gives the AI info about
rare elements, and suppose this info is the key needed to create
faster-than-light travel, which then enables the AI to travel to the
galactic core, which then allows it to travel in time...

Yeah, it seems an unlikely series of events. But how good can we possibly
be at estimating probabilities about post-singularity events? Obstacles may
arise which we simply cannot forese now.

-- Ben G

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