RE: Hardware Progress

From: Amara D. Angelica (
Date: Sat Jun 23 2001 - 13:12:23 MDT

Dani Eder said:

>The latest list of the top 500 supercomputers in the
>world has just been published ( The
>sum of all 500 machines now is at 108 Tflops, which,
>using Moravec's estimate, is equivalent to 1.08 human
>brain power.

Ray Kurzweil estimates 20,000 TF/s for human
brain power, based on a nominal neural-firing speed
of 200 instructions per second for each connection
(100 TF/s x 200). This is 200 times higher
than Hans Moravec's figure, which doesn't include the
neural-firing speed.

Kurzweil estimates that "supercomputers will achieve
one human brain capacity by 2010, and personal computers
will do so by around 2020."


Kurzweil, Age of Spiritual Machines, p. 103 and

Moravec, Robots, p. 54 and

This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.5 : Wed Jul 17 2013 - 04:00:36 MDT