From: Stuart Armstrong (dragondreaming@googlemail.com)
Date: Thu May 08 2008 - 02:59:09 MDT
> > Fast as in a single AI achieves dominance before any rivals can emerge
> > or be created.
>
> If competing AI reproduce at different rates, then that is the most likely
> scenario.
What makes you claim that? We have little understanding of
intelligence; we don't know how easy or hard increases in intelligence
will turn out to be; we're not even certain how high the advantages of
increased intelligence will turn out to be.
It could be a series of increasing returns, and the advantages could
be huge - but we really don't know that. "Most likely scenario" is
much to strong a thing to say.
Stuart
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