Re: Pascal's Button

From: Rolf Nelson (rolf.h.d.nelson@gmail.com)
Date: Tue Apr 08 2008 - 22:51:30 MDT


On Tue, Apr 8, 2008 at 9:11 AM, Stathis Papaioannou <stathisp@gmail.com> wrote:
> This is along similar lines to the discussions in OB, but what reason
> is there to ignore the possibility that searching for 3^^^^3 units of
> magical utility will lead to at least 3^^^^3 units of magical
> disutility?

Unless you add an axiomatic constraint, the odds that an exact
convenient canceling-out would happen by chance for each of the
complicated and diverse moral choices confronting you, are negligible.

Maybe reviewing
<http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/11/fake-optimizati.html> would
help you out.

And oh yeah, Peter Blanc's paper (<http://arxiv.org/abs/0712.4318>) is
on arXiv nowadays for anyone who wants the rigorous write-up
explaining how dire the situation is.



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