Re: Is a theory of hard take off possible? Re: Investing in FAI research: now vs. later

From: Nick Tarleton (
Date: Wed Feb 20 2008 - 16:16:44 MST

On Wed, Feb 20, 2008 at 4:19 PM, William Pearson <> wrote:
> If you accept that the rate of improvement of a learning system is
> bounded by the information bandwidth into it,

I can't see why this would be the case. Processing limitations
(including memory bandwidth) and algorithm efficiency seem much more

> What do people think about the fruitfulness of developing this line of
> thought further?

It sounds like a good idea. Too bad we don't have a few spare
universes to do experiments in.

> When people start positing new physics that they tend to lose me. Yep,
> I know our physics isn't perfect. But reasoning using the possibility
> of new physics is a bit too much of a leap of faith for me.

Positing any *specific* new physics is a bad idea, but it's not
unlikely that our physics is incomplete in *some* significant way,
perhaps even one relevant to a hard takeoff.

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