From: Robin Hanson (rhanson@gmu.edu)
Date: Sat Nov 10 2007 - 13:22:48 MST
> So I am here to ask: where are the best analyses arguing the case for
> rapid (non-emulation) AI progress?
Another approach is this: All that remains on the road to AGI is figuring out how intelligence works. Some researcher(s) will do so. We don't know when, but it is fundamentally a mathematical/philosophical advance rather than a nitty-gritty understanding of the quirks of a biological systems. The implementation is just a Simple Matter of Programming.
The understanding could be achieved by one genius with a brain-flash, or by a community making progress together....
This is different from, e.g., reaching Alpha Centauri, which would require solving more than one engineering problem ... Indeed, I'd say that it's different from life extension, which requires understanding multiple biological systems and engineering a well-balanced fix to certain problems.
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