From: José Raerio (zeraeiro@clix.pt)
Date: Mon Apr 16 2007 - 14:37:51 MDT
Hey,
What if this argument is terrific for getting more funding towards a
safe singularity? :)
José Raeiro
Jeff Herrlich wrote:
> Hi Kevin,
>
> The odds may be so heavily stacked against us that the probability of
> success is only 0.0000000000001% for any given civilization (or
> worse). That doesn't mean that we can't possibly be that one
> civilization. And it doesn't mean we shouldn't try. What if the goal
> is possible (albeit very remotely possible) but all civilizations
> decide to give up prematurely. That would ultimately make this an
> entirely pointless Universe.
>
> I'm starting to believe more and more, that a very large "fraction" of
> the paradox, is that an evolved intelligence like us is simply
> extremely rare in this Universe.
>
> Best Wishes,
>
> Jeffrey Herrlich
>
> */"kevin.osborne" <kevin.osborne@gmail.com>/* wrote:
>
> recipe for: a little future shock moment.
>
> proposition: take the Anissimov/Yudkowsky view on the seriousness of
> Friendly A.I and other existential risks as a given.
>
> empirical observation: as per Fermi. the aether is silent and
> lifeless. all other intelligent species on all other near-space
> life-supporting worlds have failed to reach uplift.
>
> theory: the galaxy is dead and void. existential risk has proven
> lethal and/or progress-suppressive in all prior cases.
>
> prediction: our chances of reaching/surpassing/outliving the
> Singularity are negligible -> nil.
>
>
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