Re: Existential Risk and Fermi's Paradox

From: Josť Raerio (zeraeiro@clix.pt)
Date: Mon Apr 16 2007 - 14:37:51 MDT


Hey,

What if this argument is terrific for getting more funding towards a
safe singularity? :)

Josť Raeiro

Jeff Herrlich wrote:
> Hi Kevin,
>
> The odds may be so heavily stacked against us that the probability of
> success is only 0.0000000000001% for any given civilization (or
> worse). That doesn't mean that we can't possibly be that one
> civilization. And it doesn't mean we shouldn't try. What if the goal
> is possible (albeit very remotely possible) but all civilizations
> decide to give up prematurely. That would ultimately make this an
> entirely pointless Universe.
>
> I'm starting to believe more and more, that a very large "fraction" of
> the paradox, is that an evolved intelligence like us is simply
> extremely rare in this Universe.
>
> Best Wishes,
>
> Jeffrey Herrlich
>
> */"kevin.osborne" <kevin.osborne@gmail.com>/* wrote:
>
> recipe for: a little future shock moment.
>
> proposition: take the Anissimov/Yudkowsky view on the seriousness of
> Friendly A.I and other existential risks as a given.
>
> empirical observation: as per Fermi. the aether is silent and
> lifeless. all other intelligent species on all other near-space
> life-supporting worlds have failed to reach uplift.
>
> theory: the galaxy is dead and void. existential risk has proven
> lethal and/or progress-suppressive in all prior cases.
>
> prediction: our chances of reaching/surpassing/outliving the
> Singularity are negligible -> nil.
>
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Ahhh...imagining that irresistible "new car" smell?
> Check out new cars at Yahoo! Autos.
> <http://us.rd.yahoo.com/evt=48245/*http://autos.yahoo.com/new_cars.html;_ylc=X3oDMTE1YW1jcXJ2BF9TAzk3MTA3MDc2BHNlYwNtYWlsdGFncwRzbGsDbmV3LWNhcnM->
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> No virus found in this incoming message.
> Checked by AVG Free Edition.
> Version: 7.5.446 / Virus Database: 269.4.0/762 - Release Date: 15-04-2007 16:22
>



This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.5 : Wed Jul 17 2013 - 04:00:57 MDT