Re: Fun with Experimental Design [WAS: Re: The Conjunction Fallacy Fallacy]

From: Ben Goertzel (ben@goertzel.org)
Date: Sat May 06 2006 - 11:29:47 MDT


Michael Vassar wrote:
> You *can't* rationally disagree with someone who you believe to be rational.

This is clearly untrue, for a variety of reasons.

For instance, you might be talking to someone who is rational but
happens to have formed opinions based on a set of evidence that,
unknown to him, was highly biased.

And, when you tell him the evidence his judgments are based on was
highly biased, he may not believe you ---- because he may believe your
judgment is flawed because you're not smart enough to assess such
things, etc...

In this case, among others, you might disagree with someone who you
believe to be rational...

This example is not an exceptional case by any means, since each of us
has formed our opinions based on different sets of evidence, and none
of us has time to gather all available evidence...

-- Ben



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