Re: The Conjunction Fallacy Fallacy

From: Phillip Huggan (
Date: Wed May 03 2006 - 18:09:32 MDT

Okay so the majority of people can't weight a decision tree properly. The majority of people aren't engineering AGI. Or is the point being made that an AGI entity would not fall into human traps if it attains administrative functions?

Damien Broderick <> wrote:
  At 03:47 PM 5/3/2006 -0700, Eliezer wrote:

>Obviously, 65% of the undergraduates in this study, betting real
>money, chose to bet on (2) over (1) because of conversational
>implicature prototyping ecological triggering mechanisms. I'm sure
>they wouldn't have made the same mistake if only the instructions
>had been written in blue ink.

No, because they were too stupid or hasty to notice that the first
option was shorter.

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