Re: Anti-singularity spam.

From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (
Date: Mon May 01 2006 - 14:36:12 MDT

Damien Broderick wrote:
> It's time to stop taking pot-shots at the lazy anoxic fish
> in the brine barrel and go instead after the big sharks.

The big sharks tend to have addressed most obvious objections to their
ideas because they've given a few talks and taken audience questions.
You'd need an actual effort to shoot a big shark.

The really big sharks carefully weigh each detail before attaching it to
a prediction. The really big sharks are a lot harder to hit because
they present a much smaller profile; they won't put something forward
unless they don't think you can knock it down. And since the really big
sharks construct long, careful arguments with boring-sounding
qualifications, and don't have a sound-bite ready for every question
(e.g. "What will people wear in 2050?"), nonspecialists may not have
heard of them.

Careful futurism is rarely popular, popular futurism is rarely careful.

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

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