Re: The Singularity vs. the Wall

From: Jeff Medina (
Date: Sun Apr 23 2006 - 23:11:42 MDT

On 4/23/06, Richard Loosemore <> wrote:
> So Kurzweil has done a disservice to the idea by emphasizing those
> curves. It just does not make sense to look at a curve and suppose that
> no new factors will kick in as it heads off to infinity.

In TSIN, Kurzweil specifically acknowledges and discusses how,
historically, any particular factor/technology has always hit a
plateau, and that we should (and he does) quite strongly expect that
any exponential trends that continue will similarly depend on new
factors as old & current technologies hit their own plateaus.

Jeff Medina
Community Director
Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
Relationships & Community Fellow
Institute for Ethics & Emerging Technologies
School of Philosophy, Birkbeck, University of London

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