Bayesian Test Case

From: H C (
Date: Tue Jan 10 2006 - 21:15:20 MST

I have something of an idea about attempting to apply some Bayesian
reasoning principles in terms of a standard Texas Hold 'em game.

The purpose of the application would be to take into account probabilities
in terms of a single player's hand at each stage of betting, as well as
parameters associated with raises, blinds, etc (against human opponents).
These factors would be taken into account using principles and functions
associated with BPT and expected utility.

There are multiple possible uses of this concept, including real monetary
benefit (based on improved observer centered expected utility estimation in
terms of options and parameters. Ultimately the idea is to attempt to
establish a decent shot at a normative estimation, after much improvement,
or at least a stronger understanding of some basic principles of Bayesian
reasoning and expected utility)

It would take a little math, a good bit of programming, and a few strokes of

Let me know if interested.


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