From: Richard Loosemore (email@example.com)
Date: Thu Oct 27 2005 - 11:27:26 MDT
This is good. I look forward to seeing what happens.
Here is my prediction for how things will evolve in the future, though.
The first set of learning mechanisms may work to the extent that their
scope is limited, but if they aim for very general (cross-domain)
learning, or if they are used for a developmentally extended period
(i.e. if the system is supposed to learn some basic concepts, then use
these to learn more advanced ones, and so on for a long period of time)
it will start to bog down. The more ambitious the learning mechanism
and the longer it is expected to survive without handholding, the more
the result will deviate from what is expected. And it will "deviate" in
the sense that the quality of what is learned will just not be adequate
to make it function well.
Of course, this is *in no way* meant to be a comment on the quality of
Novamente, I am just trying to anticipate the way things would go if the
complex systems problem turned out to be exactly as I have suggested.
I'd be the happiest person around if it did not.
Ben Goertzel wrote:
> Your comments pertain directly to our current work with Novamente, in which
> we are hooking it up to a 3D simulation world (AGISIM) and trying to teach
> it simple tasks modeled on human developmental psychology. The "hooking up"
> is ongoing (involving various changes to our existing codebase which has
> been tuned for other things) and the teaching of simple tasks probably won't
> start till December and January.
> I agree it is possible that after we teach the system for a while in the
> environment, then it will reach a point where it can't learn what we want it
> to. Of course that is possible. We don't have a rigorous proof that the
> system will learn the way we want it to. But we have put a lot of thought
> and analysis and discussion into trying to ensure that it *will* learn the
> way we want it to. I believe we can foresee the overall course of the
> learning and the sorts of high-level structures that will emerge during
> learning, even though the details of what will be learned are of course
> unpredictable in advance (in practice).
> -- Ben G
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