Re: Wil McCarthy on Singularity

From: BillK (
Date: Tue Apr 05 2005 - 09:33:53 MDT

On Apr 5, 2005 2:53 PM, Dani Eder wrote:
> There is a factual error in his article. According to
> the US Census Bureau, population growth already has
> passed the inflection point. The peak was in the late
> 1980's:

Or not. Depends on what he means.
You are correct that the *rate* of population growth peaked around
1990. But the total world population is still growing.
In the context of his article, he seems to be talking about 'bubbles
bursting', in the sense of the population starting to reduce,
computers not getting more powerful every year, Third World growth
collapsing. A gradual reduction in the *rate of increase* of these
factors would hardly be called a singularity.
Population has already started to reduce in some countries, but this
is offset at present by other countries increasing their population.
Of course, as the *rate* of increase gradually reduces, all countries
will be faced with the problem of a static or reducing population in
which the average age is increasing and old people form a greater
proportion of the nation.


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