RE: AI timeframes

From: Tomaz Kristan (
Date: Fri Apr 09 2004 - 15:52:19 MDT

On Fri, 9 Apr 2004 07:31:27 -0400, "Ben Goertzel" wrote:

> IMO, the AGI problem does not NEED a unified project
> the size of the
> Manhattan project. Research software is not a
> large-team enterprise. I
> learned that the hard way!

I can agree with this. They will probably launch
several parallel tries to get SAI.

> 2) fund a number of independent, autonomous small
> working on their
> own AGI approaches, using the hardware farm

That, yes.

> Also you have to consider the fact that the government
> R&D establishment
> (particularly DARPA) has heavily bought into a
> non-workable approach to
> AI (expert systems, formal logic as the central
> principle, Cyc, etc.).

They will reconsider their positions. They can and do

> "Manhattan Project for AI" is not as imminent as you
> might think.

I would not be too surprised, if you were drafted one
sunny day.

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