**From:** Mitchell Porter (*mitchtemporarily@hotmail.com*)

**Date:** Thu May 29 2003 - 04:34:37 MDT

**Next message:**Ben Goertzel: "RE: The Bayesian philosophy of probability"**Previous message:**Thomas R Mazanec: "Re: Any suggestions?"**Next in thread:**Ben Goertzel: "RE: The Bayesian philosophy of probability"**Reply:**Ben Goertzel: "RE: The Bayesian philosophy of probability"**Messages sorted by:**[ date ] [ thread ] [ subject ] [ author ] [ attachment ]

Something about "Bayesianism" has long puzzled me. On one hand,

we have all the formulae for conditional probability. On the other hand,

there is the debate between "frequentists" and "Bayesians" over the

*meaning* of probability:

Bernoulli, in 1713, recognized the distinction between two

definitions of probability: (1) probability as a measure of the

plausibility of an event with incomplete knowlege, and (2)

probability as the long-run frequency of occurrence of an event in a

sequence of repeated (sometimes hypothetical) experiments. The

former (1) is a general definition of probability adopted by the

Bayesians. The latter (2) is called the "frequentist" view,

sometimes called the "classical", "orthodox" or "sampling theory"

view.

--http://www.amara.com/ftpstuff/bayesian.txt

What I'd like to know is: what do the two Bayesianisms have

to do with each other? What is the connection between

an enthusiasm for conditional probabilities, and a belief that

probabilities are subjective?

_________________________________________________________________

Get mobile Hotmail. Go to http://ninemsn.com.au/mobilecentral/signup.asp

**Next message:**Ben Goertzel: "RE: The Bayesian philosophy of probability"**Previous message:**Thomas R Mazanec: "Re: Any suggestions?"**Next in thread:**Ben Goertzel: "RE: The Bayesian philosophy of probability"**Reply:**Ben Goertzel: "RE: The Bayesian philosophy of probability"**Messages sorted by:**[ date ] [ thread ] [ subject ] [ author ] [ attachment ]

*
This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.5
: Wed Jul 17 2013 - 04:00:42 MDT
*