Re: Bayesian story problem SPOILER WARNING: attempt at solution

From: John Stick (johnstick@worldnet.att.net)
Date: Sat Mar 29 2003 - 21:36:26 MST


Closer, but no. (I think the moral of this story is: Bayes easy,
fractions hard.) For a good check, just calculate out the probabilities
of the four types of eggs: red with pearl and without, blue with and
without, and do the ratio. You have it all there in your calculations
already.

Psy-Kosh wrote:

>ACK! gpgoe munched at the last line.
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>I really hate it when it does that.
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>well, let's try again:
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>spoiler space
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>All your Bayes are..... no, I won't, too silly. :)
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>All your spoiler spa.........No, must resist infection vector from UFAI
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>The probability that a blue egg has a pearl is 8/13
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