Re: My probability estimates of various scenarios

From: Gordon Worley (
Date: Sat Nov 23 2002 - 00:51:07 MST

On Friday, November 22, 2002, at 10:24 PM, Marc Geddes wrote:

> It really is a sad state of affairs that so many human
> beings are so totally blind or apathetic that they're
> doing nothing to help bring about the 'Singularity'.
> And that the minds of so many are still gripped by
> centuries old dogmas that are opposed to science,
> rationality and progress (for instance fundamentalist
> religion). What a terrible waste of life!

I'll take it that you're putting yourself on the line here, so ... what
are you doing to make the Singularity happen a little sooner, if at all?

> Assuming that the outcome of the Singularity is
> favorable, what happens?
> F.A.I implements 'Sys-Op' over all of human space and
> rapidly offers uplifting to all: 30%
> Multiple F.A.I's integrated with economy help develop
> uplifting technologies gradually: 70%

On what do you base such figures? The task of managing the Singularity
in a Friendly manner will be complicated enough that no human could
have nonaccidentally correct beliefs about what will happen. At least
that's my thinking on the subject.

Gordon Worley                          "Man will become better when                 you show him what he is like."                                --Anton Chekhov
PGP:  0xBBD3B003

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