Re: How hard a Singularity?

From: James Higgins (
Date: Wed Jun 26 2002 - 12:56:18 MDT

At 01:34 PM 6/26/2002 -0400, Michael Roy Ames wrote:
> > Make no sense or incoherent to who? Who decides what is a good idea and
> > what is a bad idea? In who's hands should the fate of the human race
>Someone has to decide. Or some group. Would you rather that the deciding
>'unit' be the ill-informed public, or some group more educated? If so,
>which group? The most educated perhaps? The most altruistic perhaps?
>Everyone should certainly be able to see the decisions and how they were
>arrived at yes? Okay then, who do you suggest? I suggest SIAI. If you
>want to suggest some other decision-making unit, then: go ahead. I am not
>being facecious, really, I would like to hear your suggestion.

Actually, I was thinking about this earlier, glad you asked.

I think the best solution would be to assemble a board of maybe 10
people. These people should be intelligent, but not necessarily
geniuses. Some should be experts on AI, but not all. I would say the
criteria ALL members must posses would be:

         1. A strong desire to see the Singularity occur

         2. Strongly value human life and the survival of the human race

         3. Must be willing and able to accept that a solution, other than
their own, is a better solution

The deciding body SHOULD NOT have exactly coinciding interest. They should
not, under any circumstances, all be working on the same project (such as
the Singularity Institute).

Ideally, I think deployment (kick off) of a Singularity project would be
impossible without the agreement of this group. (the keys would not be in
the possession of the developers). All 10 people would have to agree in
order to launch a Singularity attempt. Ideally this same group would
oversee all potential Singularity projects, so that they could analyze,
compare and pick the one with the best potential to be launched.

> > You keep comparing your decisions to go forward to other
> > complex problems.
>Are you denying the ultility of "learning from past mistakes"?

Absolutely not. But if the moon shot failed it would not have killed all
humanity. The only possibly equal project I know of would have been the
Manhattan Project. If I recall correctly some of them thought a chain
reaction could have occurred and would have destroy the earth. Hopefully
they fully researched this possibility before testing the first bomb.

James Higgins

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