Re: Moravec's estimates?

From: James Higgins (
Date: Sat Apr 07 2001 - 11:21:47 MDT

At 12:50 AM 4/7/2001 -0400, you wrote:
>What might be more interesting to consider is the increase in supercomputer
>power. From around 12 teraflops last year to 1000 in 2005 (Blue Gene). A year
>after that teraflop CPUs may be available from the Sony/IBM/Toshiba
>collaboration recently announced. Those CPUs would be over 30 times more
>powerful than the Blue Gene CPUs.
>The last part stinks of hype since that CPU would be apparently be used
>in some next-generation Playstation, and game makers are well known to
>overhype their performance. But it'll sure be fun if it's true...

I, too, find it difficult to believe that a game console will leapfrog
super-computers and be the first to reach 1TF. It may be that they are
calculating in cycles from insanely powerful 3D hardware. Such that the
system as a whole does 1TF, but 90% of it is split between x number of
dedicated GPUs.

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