RE: Moravec's estimates?

From: John Smart (john.smart@home.com)
Date: Fri Apr 06 2001 - 22:19:08 MDT


Could you ref that, Damien? Last I saw were 14 months, from Kurzweil's
stuff.

Best,

John Smart

http://www.SingularityWatch.com
Understanding Accelerating Change

> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-sl4@sysopmind.com [mailto:owner-sl4@sysopmind.com]On Behalf
> Of Damien Broderick
> Sent: Friday, April 06, 2001 8:24 PM
> To: sl4@sysopmind.com
> Subject: Re: Moravec's estimates?
>
>
> >Well, any prediction on when any x-flops machine would be out has been
> >beaten so far. Weren't thoses predictions based on doubling
> power every 18
> >months ?
>
> Last time I looked, Moore's Guesstimate was doubling under a year.
>
> Damien Broderick



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